世界生物圈保护区缓解气候变化成效评估

The effectiveness of Biosphere Reserves for climate change mitigation

  • 摘要: 气候变化已成为威胁全球生态系统稳定与可持续发展的重大挑战, 增强自然生态系统尤其是森林的碳储量是应对这一挑战的重要策略。作为联合国教科文组织“人与生物圈计划”的载体, 生物圈保护区(BRs)通过森林的保护与可持续管理在缓解气候变化中具有重要潜力。然而目前尚缺乏通过森林碳储量变化开展BRs缓解气候变化成效的相关研究。基于全球尺度BRs, 构建多源数据结合与空间匹配评估框架, 对经过筛选后可匹配的BRs内部与外部非BRs对照区的森林地上碳储量进行对比。研究结果显示, BRs森林地上额外碳储量较对照区高出6.00%, 表现出明显的碳储优势。不同大洲、生物群落、设立时间的BRs碳储量效益差异显著。首次在全球尺度上量化了BRs对森林地上碳储量的积极贡献, 研究结果为评估BRs在缓解气候变化中的作用提供了依据, 可为全球BRs的优化管理政策提供理论依据与数据参考。

     

    Abstract: Climate change has emerged as a significant challenge threatening the stability and sustainable development of global ecosystems. Enhancing the carbon stock of natural ecosystems, particularly forests, is a crucial strategy in addressing this challenge. As a key component of the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)′s Man and the Biosphere Programme, Biosphere Reserves (BRs) offer considerable potential in mitigating climate change through forest conservation and sustainable management. However, there is currently a lack of in-depth research that quantifies the effectiveness of BRs in mitigating climate change by assessing the benefits of above-ground forest carbon stock. This study constructs an assessment framework at a global scale for BRs, integrating multi-source data (including ecoregions and biomes, national boundaries, land cover, precipitation, temperature, elevation, slope, distance to cities, population count, and soil organic carbon) and spatial matching (exact matching and similarity matching). A comparative statistical analysis is conducted on the above-ground forest carbon stocks of 617 eligible matched BRs and their external non-BR control, aiming to explore the relative carbon stock benefits of BRs. The findings are as follows. 1) The total carbon stock within the studied BRs (14.106 billion tons) exceeds that of external control regions (13.308 billion tons) by 6.00%. More than half (56.56%) of the BRs have higher internal carbon stocks compared to external regions, indicating a generally positive impact of BRs on forest carbon stock. 2) Although the carbon stock benefits of BRs vary across continents, they all show positive effects, with Oceania demonstrating the highest benefit (+12.52%) and Asia the lowest (+3.20%). 3) Significant differences exist in the relative carbon stock benefits of BRs across different biomes. Tropical and subtropical dry broadleaf forests, flooded grasslands, and savannas exhibit the highest benefits (+13.82% and +13.52%, respectively), while tundra shows the lowest (-5.55%). Temperate conifer forests and montane grasslands and shrublands also display negative benefits (-0.91% and -0.82%, respectively). 4) There are notable differences in the carbon stock benefits of BRs established at different times. BRs established either too early or too recently tend to have relatively lower carbon storage benefits, while those established between 1995 and 1999 demonstrate significantly higher benefits (+40.80%). This study is the first to quantify the positive contribution of BRs to above-ground forest carbon stock on a global scale, and reveal significant differences in carbon stock across various types of BRs. These findings provide a basis for evaluating the role of BRs in mitigating climate change as well as theoretical and data support for optimizing global BRs management policies.

     

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