基于物种分布模型的东北地区震旦鸦雀(Paradoxornis heudei)生境适宜性

Habitat suitability analysis of the Reed Parrotbill (Paradoxornis heudei) in northeast China based on species distribution models

  • 摘要: 全球气候变化与人类活动加剧导致生物多样性持续丧失, 生境恢复是提升生物多样性的有效途径, 而精准识别物种最适生境是其前提, 物种分布模型为此提供了有力支撑。通过结合实地调查、公民科学数据及文献资料, 利用最大熵模型(MaxEnt)分析了中国东北地区震旦鸦雀(Paradoxornis heudei)最适生境现状。结果显示, 该物种在东北地区的核心分布区域总面积约4.44万km2, 仅占区域总面积的3.06%, 适宜生境破碎化特征显著, 且82%以上的生境存在保护空缺。影响其生境适宜性的主要环境因子为最冷月最低温(33.15%)、最热月最高温(32.49%)和归一化植被指数(NDVI)(15.93%), 而人为干扰因子(距耕地距离0.96%、距道路距离0.40%)影响较小。研究明确了影响东北地区震旦鸦雀分布的关键限制因子, 为精准划定核心保护区、制定靶向性生境修复策略提供科学依据, 对维护区域湿地生态系统稳定、保护生物多样性及推进松嫩鹤乡国家公园建设具有重要意义。

     

    Abstract: With the change of global climate and intensification of anthropogenic activities, biodiversity loss worldwide has been accelerated. Habitat restoration has been widely recognized as a critical strategy to mitigate this loss, with its success depending on accurate identification of species optimal habitats. Meanwhile, species distribution models (SDMs) provide an effective approach to achieving this objective. In the present study, a systematic literature review was combined with citizen science occurrence data. Based on the MaxEnt model, the potential suitable habitats of the Reed Parrotbill (Paradoxornis heudei) in Northeast China were identified. As revealed by model outputs, the core distribution area of the species in the central Songnen Plain and the southern coastal wetlands along Bohai Bay reached approximately 44400 km2, accounting for merely 3.06% of the total area of Northeast China. The spatial distribution of suitable habitats showed a pronouncedly fragmented pattern. Among the environmental predictors, the minimum temperature of the coldest month, the maximum temperature of the warmest month, and vegetation greenness (NDVI) were identified as the dominant contributors, which interpreted 33.15%, 32.49%, and 15.93% of the variance, respectively. Temperature seasonality (8.75%), distance to water (4.36%), and precipitation of the driest season (3.96%) also exerted moderate influence. By contrast, the effect of anthropogenic disturbance (distance to farm, 0.96%; distance to roads, 0.40%) was minor. In short, while improving the understanding of the species ecological niche, these findings highlight temperature-related variables as the primary determinants of its distribution. At present, more than 82% of suitable habitats remain unprotected. By clarifying the core distribution range and pivotal limiting factors of the Reed Parrotbill in Northeast China, this study provides a robust scientific foundation for precise delineation of core protected areas and formulation of targeted habitat restoration strategies. Meanwhile, it is of great significance for maintaining the stability of regional wetland ecosystems, conserving biodiversity, and advancing the establishment of the Songnen Crane Homeland National Park.

     

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